Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-30k | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20,000 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-40k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-50k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-60k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60k+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | longtern | 40-50k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d |  pirateshere | 40-50k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,785 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 50-60k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,531 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 630d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 40-50k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,432 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d | cigarettes | 40-50k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d | cigarettes | 50-60k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d | cigarettes | 30-40k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d | cigarettes | 60k+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d |  AgricultureSecretary | 20-30k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,933 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 630d |  FrancisSP8 | 20-30k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,486 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 634d |  Slowroasted | 40-50k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,162 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 635d | wokerjoesleeper | 60k+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,509 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 635d | wokerjoesleeper | 30-40k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,506 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 635d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 20-30k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$17 +0.7% | 20 |
| 639d | Slowroasted | 20-30k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,544 | +$47 +1.3% | 20 |
| 644d |  LinaBell | 20-30k | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | −$59 −3.4% | — |
| 645d | FrancisSP8 | 20-30k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | +$71 +3.1% | 20 |
| 646d | Slowroasted | 40-50k | SellNo100¢ | $1,091 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 646d | Slowroasted | 50-60k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,655 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 647d | Slowroasted | 50-60k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$19 +1.8% | 20 |
| 648d |  mr.ozi | 20-30k | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | −$1,105 −100% | 20 |
| 648d | Slowroasted | 60k+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 648d | Ordon | 60k+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 648d | mr.ozi | 20-30k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 20 |
| 649d | Ordon | 60k+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,559 | +$83 +3.2% | 20 |
| 651d |  lranon | <20,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 651d | lranon2 fills | <20,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,697 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the total acreage burned by the Palisades wildfire.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-30k means the market gives it about 100%.