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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-224 | 100% | +91 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250+ | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 663d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 225-249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d | cigarettes | 225-249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,558 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d | cigarettes | 250+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,558 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 200-224 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,959 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d |  tsybka | 200-224 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,184 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 663d |  Cincinnatus17 | 200-224 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 663d |  noreasapa2 fills | 200-224 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$216 +7.8% | 4 |
| 663d |  chensoft | 200-224 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$81 −8.1% | — |
| 663d |  JJo | 200-224 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$156 +6.4% | 4 |
| 663d | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | 200-224 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | −$83 −6.4% | — |
| 663d | noreasapa | 175-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,101 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 663d | aviato | 200-224 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 4 |
| 663d |  MichaelStrategy | 175-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,111 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 663d | Hartal | 250+ | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$250 +16% | 4 |
| 663d |  MarkWalter | 200-224 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,331 | +$290 +12% | 4 |
| 663d | aviato | 250+ | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$375 +28% | 4 |
| 663d | oneday1 | 175-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,138 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 663d | MichaelStrategy | 175-199 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,095 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 664d | Yanko6666 | 125-149 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 664d | Yanko6666 | 125-149 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$78 +7.8% | 4 |
| 664d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | 100-124 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,456 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 664d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | 100-124 | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $7,071 | −$7,071 −100% | 4 |
| 664d | rpo | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 665d | noreasapa | <100 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
This is a market group over the number of attempts it takes for Kai and Speed to beat their Fortnite challenge.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 200-224 means the market gives it about 100%.