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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | +48 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 or more | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658d | pfffft | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,544 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 658d |  MMousse | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,187 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 658d | abeautifulmind | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,534 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 658d |  Slowroasted | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,145 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 658d |  Wickier | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,662 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 658d | surf | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,811 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 658d |  mr.ozi | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,845 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 658d | Slowroasted | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,800 | +$12 +0.4% | 10 |
| 658d | abeautifulmind6 fills | 1 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $18,873 | −$18,873 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 1 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $4,926 | −$4,926 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | Slowroasted | 1 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,457 | −$1,457 −100% | 10 |
| 658d |  Negeto2 fills | 1 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $7,192 | −$7,192 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | mr.ozi2 fills | 1 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $3,877 | −$3,877 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | RobXK | 1 | BuyYes15¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$6,084 +567% | 10 |
| 658d |  AcctToBeRetired | 1 | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,156 | +$1,156 +100% | — |
| 658d |  starbuck02 | 1 | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,647 | +$2,647 +100% | — |
| 658d | surf | 1 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,632 | −$1,632 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | 1 | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | +$1,101 +100% | — |
| 658d |  Nancy-Pelosi | 1 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | −$1,824 −100% | 10 |
| 658d | starbuck02 | 1 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,101 | −$2,101 −100% | 10 |
| 658d |  0xFJAFJKLDSKF7JKFDJ | 1 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,680 | −$2,680 −100% | 10 |
wus2 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over how many rounds of ballots will be cast to elect the next US Speaker of the House.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1 means the market gives it about 100%.