Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <75k | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 75-90k | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-105k | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 105-120k | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120k or more | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | cigarettes | 105-120k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 589d |  AgricultureSecretary | <75k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,764 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 589d | alex562 | 120k or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,189 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 589d | alex562 | 90-105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
In January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <75k means the market gives it about 100%.