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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-15 | 100% | +80 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <8 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8-11 | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 16-19 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-23 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 24+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640d |  Slowroasted | 12-15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 640d | wokerjoesleeper | 8-11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 640d | Slowroasted | 12-15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,720 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 641d |  DickTurbin | 8-11 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | −$147 −11% | — |
| 641d |  MotherTheresa | 24+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 651d |  RiseAndSunny | 8-11 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$170 +9.3% | 10 |
| 652d | DickTurbin | 8-11 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$264 +16% | 10 |
| 652d | MotherTheresa | <8 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$90 +7.8% | 10 |
| 652d | DickTurbin | <8 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 10 |
This is a market on the number of Democratic Senators who will vote for the Laken Riley Act.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 12-15 means the market gives it about 100%.