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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650+ | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <350 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-399 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-449 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-499 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-599 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-649 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634d |  AgricultureSecretary | 650+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 634d | AgricultureSecretary | <350 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
On January 26, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1883680858453705153. This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 650+ means the market gives it about 100%.