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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 100% | +82 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-2 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5+ | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809d |  AgricultureSecretary | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,202 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 809d | AJM96 | 3 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 809d | sirConradz | 3 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,884 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 809d |  mango-lassi2 fills | 4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,945 | +$155 +5.3% | 4 |
How many gold medals will Simone Biles win?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 3 means the market gives it about 100%.