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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250k-300k | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <200k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 200k-250k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 300k-353k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| >353k (January #) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960d | >353k (January #) | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 960d | sk33625 | <200k | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,379 | −$1,379 −100% | 11 |
| 961d | >353k (January #) | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$139 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 971d | >353k (January #) | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$132 −12% | — | |
| 986d | 300k-353k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$131 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 986d | 300k-353k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$161 +12% | 10 | |
| 986d | >353k (January #) | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$495 +20% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 250k-300k means the market gives it about 100%.