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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150-200k | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-150k | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-300k | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >300k | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595d | 150-200k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,739 | +$149 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 599d | >300k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$46 +3.4% | 10 | |
| 600d | Orivelle | 100-150k | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $14,447 | +$14,447 +100% | — |
| 600d | Aelthorin | 100-150k | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $33,709 | +$14,447 +43% | 12 |
| 601d | wangdandi | >300k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$67 +4.0% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February, scheduled to be released on March 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 150-200k means the market gives it about 100%.