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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100-150k | 100% | +91 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-300k | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >300k | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624d | sherlw | 100-150k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,557 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 624d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | >300k | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$249 −23% | — |
| 628d | Monster24 | <100k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,462 | +$173 +5.0% | 10 |
| 629d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | 100-150k | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 11 |
This is a market on predicting the number of jobs added in January.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 100-150k means the market gives it about 100%.