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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >275k (Feb #) | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <200k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 200k-275k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 934d | rex483 fills | <200k | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,369 | +$1,681 +50% | 10 |
| 942d | rex48 | <200k | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$761 −53% | — |
| 943d | ahahahah | >275k (Feb #) | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | −$1,726 −100% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >275k (Feb #) means the market gives it about 100%.