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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <27 | 0% | −14 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 28 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 29 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 32 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >32 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | MistahFox | 27 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,815 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Gr33d | 27 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,802 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | calvinhobbes123 | 27 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | 29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | >32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | 32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | influenz.eth | 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 332d |  Allinnothing | <27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of named typhoons (i.e., storms assigned an official name) that occur in the Northwest Pacific basin between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, according to the official list published on the Digital Typhoon website by Japan’s National Institute of Informatics. (see: https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en) A “named typhoon” refers to any system officially assigned a name by the meteorological agencies responsible for the Western North Pacific basin. Only storms appearing on the 2025 list on the Digital Typhoon website will count. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until January 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 27 means the market gives it about 100%.