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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81-83 seats | 100% | +8 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <72 seats | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-77 seats | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78-80 seats | 0% | 0 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84-86 seats | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 87-89 seats | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90+ seats | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72-74 seats | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408d |  GollumGekko | 81-83 seats | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 410d |  Flipadelphia | 72-74 seats | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,223 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 410d | Flipadelphia | <72 seats | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,610 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 410d | Flipadelphia | 90+ seats | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,746 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 410d | Snoorrason | <72 seats | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 410d | Snoorrason | 90+ seats | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,398 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 410d | Snoorrason2 fills | 72-74 seats | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$85 +2.7% | 10 |
| 410d |  Leonid-Sport | 72-74 seats | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,546 | +$120 +4.7% | 10 |
| 410d | 0x97cc…bbbf | 72-74 seats | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$132 +4.7% | 10 |
| 410d | metsW | <72 seats | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,855 | +$145 +3.0% | 10 |
| 410d | 0x97cc…bbbf | <72 seats | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$150 +3.0% | 10 |
| 414d | wubddh2 fills | 90+ seats | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,607 | +$98 +2.1% | 10 |
| 417d |  gopfan2 | 84-86 seats | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | −$383 −14% | — |
| 421d | gopfan2 | 84-86 seats | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $7,791 | +$2,343 +30% | 10 |
| 424d | gopfan2 | 90+ seats | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$280 +19% | 10 |
The blue bloc coalition in Norway refers to the following four parties—Conservative (H), Progress (FrP), Liberal (V), and Christian Democratic (KrF). Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve based on the number of seats the blue bloc wins in the Norwegian Storting (Norway's parliament) as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 81-83 seats means the market gives it about 100%.