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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95+ | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <50 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-54 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55-59 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-64 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-69 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-74 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-79 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-84 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 85-89 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-94 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No vote by December 31 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 339d | Improbable-Citron4 fills | 95+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,203 | +$20 +0.3% | 10 |
| 339d | Improbable-Citron | No vote by December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 339d |  uncleroger | <50 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,316 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 339d |  dreakso | No vote by December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | −$89 −5.2% | — |
| 339d | uncleroger2 fills | 95+ | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | −$5,592 −217% | — |
| 339d | dreakso | No vote by December 31 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$1,502 +100% | 10 |
| 339d |  Epstein | 95+ | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,474 | −$1,474 −100% | 11 |
| 339d |  bamesjond | 95+ | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 11 |
| 339d | Epstein | No vote by December 31 | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | −$1,455 −45% | — |
| 339d | uncleroger | 95+ | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$606 +37% | 10 |
| 339d | uncleroger | 50-54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,937 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 339d | uncleroger | <50 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,274 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 339d | poptree | <50 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,223 | +$33 +1.0% | 10 |
| 339d | poptree | 65-69 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | +$20 +1.2% | 10 |
| 339d | poptree | 75-79 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$24 +1.6% | 10 |
| 339d | poptree | 55-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,087 | +$8 +0.4% | 10 |
| 340d | majstor | No vote by December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | +$199 +11% | 10 |
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first U.S. Senate floor vote held on any bill, measure, or resolution which mandates, compels, or formally calls for the public release of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. The vote count refers to the first final vote on passage in the full chamber, not committee votes or procedural motions If no such vote is held by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31”. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 95+ means the market gives it about 100%.