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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <14 | 88% | +3 pts | +2 pts | 78¢ · 99¢ (21¢) | — | in 8d |
| 14 | 13% | −2 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 25¢ (25¢) | $10 | in 8d |
| 15 | 12% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 24¢ (23¢) | — | in 8d |
| 16 | 12% | −2 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 23¢ (23¢) | — | in 8d |
| 17+ | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
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cosmicsteaks161 shares
Dohorty1 shares
rrgtrtrgr46 shares
bjprolo10 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 88¢ for <14 means the market gives it about 88%.