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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 50 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 49 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 47 | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| 46 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 45 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 44 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 43 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| <43 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on the number of U.S. states that Nate Silver will accurately predict in an upcoming election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 48 means the market gives it about 100%.