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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $114,815 | +$115 +0.1% | 4 |
| 713d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $99,675 | +$100 +0.1% | 4 |
| 713d |  Anjun | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 713d |  Anon1792681 | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,961 | +$38 +0.2% | 4 |
| 713d | Touhou | 7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 713d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 7 | SellYes>99¢ | $48,921 | −$234 −0.5% | — |
| 713d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 6 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,762 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 714d |  LBZcapital | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,942 | +$68 +0.2% | 4 |
| 714d | NicholasWickerson | 7 | SellYes100¢ | $3,065 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 714d |  aldynspeedruns | 7 | SellYes100¢ | $7,328 | −$37 −0.5% | — |
| 715d |  d1k21 | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 715d |  NERA2 fills | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,683 | +$32 +0.4% | 4 |
| 715d |  elmcap2 | 7 | BuyYes100¢ | $15,107 | +$76 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d |  PaeniscusKyu | 7 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,108 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | DapperChapper | 7 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,754 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d |  Beachb0y | 7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,635 | −$57 −1.0% | — |
| 715d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 7 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,078 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 715d | JJJASON3 fills | 7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,933 | −$211 −0.8% | — |
| 716d |  Casdy | 7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 716d |  pocahontasporker | 7 | SellYes100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 716d |  ProfitingFromYou2 fills | 7 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $27,190 | −$494 −1.8% | — |
| 716d | Trump2032-365 | 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,636 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 716d | Casdy | 7 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 717d | aldynspeedruns | 7 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,144 | +$221 +3.1% | 4 |
| 717d | DapperChapper | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,953 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 717d | marketguy123123 | 7 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$57 −5.3% | — |
| 717d | Maobear2 fills | 7 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,045 | +$491 +9.7% | 4 |
| 717d | pocahontasporker | 7 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,840 | +$160 +1.6% | 4 |
| 717d | vinceisvinced | 7 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,696 | +$72 +2.7% | 4 |
| 717d |  xiaoxiannv | 7 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,361 | −$266 −5.0% | — |
| 717d | Falconryder | 7 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$66 −5.2% | — |
| 717d | Trump2032-365 | 7 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $23,647 | +$731 +3.1% | 4 |
| 717d | EneeTtt | 7 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$182 −9.4% | — |
| 717d | Nabeel05058 fills | 0 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $31,282 | −$3,170 −10% | — |
| 717d | xiaoxiannv | 7 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,458 | +$169 +3.1% | 4 |
| 717d | 0xe1F6C3 fills | 7 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,181 | +$1,150 +22% | 4 |
| 717d |  Coram_Deo | 0 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,612 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 717d | alexc93 | 7 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$84 +7.5% | 4 |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital | 6 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,475 | +$222 +6.4% | 4 |
| 717d | nickverd | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,567 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 717d | nickverd | 7 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | +$179 +9.9% | 4 |
| 717d | reflexive | 0 | SellNo100¢ | $1,355 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 717d |  Kalags | 7 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$293 +16% | 4 |
| 717d |  itsgg | 7 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $9,571 | +$2,368 +25% | 4 |
| 717d | 666666 | 7 | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,345 | +$1,345 +100% | — |
| 717d | SexyBeast24 | 7 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$1,006 −63% | — |
| 717d | lava-lava | 7 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$771 −39% | — |
| 717d | huangdaxian | 6 | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | +$1,069 +100% | — |
| 717d | TrumpLover69 | 7 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 7 |
| 717d | pocahontasporker2 fills | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,803 | +$53 +0.3% | 4 |
| 717d | AAA3 | 7 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | −$546 −36% | — |
| 717d | fatfat99222 | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,776 | +$224 +1.4% | 4 |
| 717d |  Mr-Yolos | 0 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | −$100 −2.0% | — |
| 717d | 0x612007DBe58150122F839fEa096144c9PPCe21fA | 7 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $4,336 | +$8,053 +186% | 8 |
| 717d |  Trenches | 7 | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$2,356 +180% | 5 |
| 717d | 0x612007DBe58150122F839fEa096144c9PPCe21fA | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 717d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 0 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 717d | nickverd3 fills | 5 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,564 | +$1,566 +24% | 4 |
| 717d | Echelonprt | 7 | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$10,682 +356% | 10 |
| 717d | 0xfe91…70ff3 fills | 6 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,460 | +$2,199 +18% | 7 |
This is a market on predicting the number of swing states that Trump will win in the upcoming election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 7 means the market gives it about 100%.