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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140-159 | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623d |  aenews22 fills | 80-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,383 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | Ordon | 140-159 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,046 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | rpo | 100-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,398 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | aenews2 | 140-159 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,159 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d |  lranon | 80-99 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,436 | +$79 +3.2% | 20 |
| 623d |  pirateshere | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | pirateshere | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | pirateshere | 120-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | lranon | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,487 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 623d | lranon | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 623d |  Dropper | 80-99 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $6,430 | +$3,620 +56% | 20 |
| 623d |  noreasapa | 80-99 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | +$2,674 +100% | 20 |
| 623d | noreasapa2 fills | 80-99 | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,962 | +$2,962 +100% | — |
| 623d | fkuUMA | 140-159 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $4,079 | −$4,079 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | Dropper | 200+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,780 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | longtern | 140-159 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 20 |
| 623d |  JJo | 80-99 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | noreasapa | 80-99 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $4,943 | −$4,943 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | Gdes | 80-99 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $2,156 | −$2,156 −100% | 20 |
| 623d |  HorribleWork | 80-99 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,518 | −$1,518 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | Lavs38382 fills | 80-99 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $6,557 | −$6,557 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | lranon | 200+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,831 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d | lranon | 60-79 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,187 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 623d | Dropper | <40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$21 +1.5% | 20 |
ehhhemmm2,902 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times ye (@kanyewest), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 140-159 means the market gives it about 100%.