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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  MotherTheresa2 fills | 9 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,639 | +$361 +9.9% | 6 |
| 630d |  LastChanceSaloon | 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d |  zalkida | 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,293 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d |  Debosnys | 10+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,810 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | Monster24 | 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,231 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d |  KimJonEn2 fills | 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | +$27 +0.8% | 4 |
| 631d | MotherTheresa4 fills | 10+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,412 | +$144 +1.1% | 4 |
| 631d | pantomime | 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 631d | braveB | 8 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$31 −1.6% | — |
| 631d | Geigk091 | 8 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$82 −5.2% | — |
| 631d | KimJonEn | 9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 631d | MotherTheresa | 8 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,754 | +$1,100 +16% | 8 |
| 631d | MotherTheresa2 fills | 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,527 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d | MotherTheresa7 fills | 6 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,633 | +$105 +0.6% | 4 |
| 633d | Alanwatts | 6 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 633d | KimJonEn | 10+ | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$185 −15% | — |
| 633d | KimJonEn | 7 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$56 +5.2% | 5 |
| 633d | MotherTheresa | 10+ | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 10 |
| 633d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,032 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 633d | pantomime | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,714 | +$13 +0.4% | 4 |
| 634d | MotherTheresa | 6 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$44 −3.8% | — |
| 634d |  ehhhemmm | 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 634d | Tremirorot | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 634d | MotherTheresa4 fills | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,330 | +$42 +0.5% | 4 |
| 634d | ThereIsNoSpoon | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,945 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d | MotherTheresa4 fills | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,843 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d | HLB-377 | 6 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$94 +6.4% | 4 |
| 637d | MotherTheresa4 fills | 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,879 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 637d | MotherTheresa7 fills | 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,808 | +$43 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d | BoringTrader | 2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,107 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 638d | BoringTrader | 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,109 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d | KimJonEn2 fills | 10+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,241 | +$599 +9.6% | 4 |
| 638d | HLB-3772 fills | 10+ | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,922 | +$740 +15% | 4 |
| 638d | MotherTheresa2 fills | 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,886 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 639d | Alanwatts | 6 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$693 +33% | 4 |
| 641d |  noreasapa2 fills | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,831 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 642d |  MMousse | 0 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
TimeTraveler9,225 sharesThis is a market on the number of Cabinet confirmations that will occur in January.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 8 means the market gives it about 100%.