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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8 | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10 | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12+ | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≤4 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 582d | Snoorrason | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 582d | Snoorrason | ≤4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,248 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve based on the number of “upsets” that occur in the first round of the 2025 March Madness Tournament. An “upset” is defined as a team with a lower seed that defeats a team with a higher seed. First Four play-in games will not count for the resolution of this market. If for any reason the first round is not completed by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 7 means the market gives it about 100%.