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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-27m | 100% | +84 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <23m | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 23-25m | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 27-29m | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 29-31m | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31m+ | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d |  LBZcapital2 fills | 25-27m | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,529 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 791d |  pirateshere | 25-27m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,075 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 791d |  Apsalar2 fills | 29-31m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,435 | +$65 +1.0% | 4 |
| 791d | Hhkcg3 fills | 29-31m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,191 | +$194 +1.0% | 4 |
| 791d | Apsalar | 27-29m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 791d | kingfisher | 25-27m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,573 | +$274 +4.2% | 4 |
| 791d | Hhkcg | 25-27m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,293 | +$305 +4.2% | 4 |
| 791d | Hhkcg | 23-25m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,472 | +$520 +4.2% | 4 |
This is a market over how many viewers will tune in for the 4th night of the Democratic National Convention, scheduled for Thursday, August 22, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25-27m means the market gives it about 100%.