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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 210 or fewer | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 211 | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 212 | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 213 | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 214 | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215 | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 216 | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 217 | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 219 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220 or more | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658d | abeautifulmind4 fills | 218 | BuyYes>99¢ | $65,332 | +$141 +0.2% | 10 |
| 658d | abeautifulmind4 fills | 216 | BuyNo>99¢ | $81,935 | +$156 +0.2% | 10 |
| 658d | VvVv | 216 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,960 | +$40 +0.2% | 10 |
| 658d | FamilyMart | 218 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,756 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 658d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | 218 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 658d | 218 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 658d | 218 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $39,203 | +$233 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 658d | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,034 | +$143 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 658d | Siziriv | 218 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | −$39 −1.0% | — |
| 658d | Siziriv | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,876 | +$43 +1.1% | 10 |
| 658d | wokerjoesleeper | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,045 | +$106 +1.3% | 10 |
| 658d | AsiimovJQK | 218 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$12 +1.1% | 10 |
| 658d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 218 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,737 | +$178 +2.6% | 10 |
| 658d | 218 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 10 | |
| 658d | 216 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,064 | +$249 +1.9% | 10 | |
| 658d | VorpalQuark | 216 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,292 | +$173 +5.3% | 10 |
| 658d | Cbarbhwux | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,943 | +$96 +1.2% | 10 |
| 658d | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,793 | +$168 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 658d | poptree | 216 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,640 | +$360 +1.2% | 10 |
| 658d | 220 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,960 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
This is a negrisk group over the January 3, 2025 election for Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 218 means the market gives it about 100%.