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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41–42m | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$40m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $40–41m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $42–43m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $43–44m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $44–45m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $45–46m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $46–47m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $47–48m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $48–49m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $49–50m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $50m+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417d | MOROCCO212 | $40–41m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 417d |  NadyaSuleman | $40–41m | SellNo>99¢ | $5,764 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 417d |  LINKEIN3 fills | $41–42m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,739 | +$152 +0.9% | 4 |
| 417d | PM777 | $41–42m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,373 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d | alex562 | $42–43m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,937 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d |  DDDASHEE2 fills | $42–43m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,595 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d | alex562 | $41–42m | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,077 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  scout | $42–43m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 418d |  Debosnys | $45–46m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,912 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 418d | Debosnys | $40–41m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  LadyLuck2 | $40–41m | SellNo>99¢ | $7,115 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 418d |  Qualitative2 fills | $40–41m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 418d | Qualitative | $40–41m | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  lil-uzi-squirt | $40–41m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,661 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | nhpx38txna0500 | $40–41m | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,129 | +$45 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | pkz | $40–41m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,751 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 418d | LadyLuck2 | $40–41m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,778 | +$294 +4.3% | 4 |
| 418d |  MichaelJacksonn2 fills | $40–41m | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $4,028 | +$2,689 +67% | 4 |
| 418d |  aenews2 | $40–41m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $17,750 | +$1,250 +7.0% | 4 |
| 418d |  🎨🎨🎨 | $40–41m | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,333 +67% | 4 |
| 418d |  WalrusLagann | $40–41m | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | −$1,395 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | hulufan74 | $40–41m | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $4,556 | +$3,450 +76% | 4 |
| 418d | hulufan74 | $41–42m | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | +$9,698 +180% | 9 |
| 418d | Debosnys | $42–43m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | Debosnys | $40–41m | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $2,964 | −$2,964 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | BigCucker | $40–41m | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $5,108 | −$5,108 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | vainglorious87 | $40–41m | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $6,604 | −$6,604 −100% | 4 |
| 418d |  user-213094o | $40–41m | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,425 | −$1,425 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | Mr.Fujin | $40–41m | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $11,523 | −$11,523 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | Single-Saviour | $40–41m | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $2,074 | −$2,074 −100% | 4 |
| 418d |  elmcap2 | $40–41m | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,886 | −$1,886 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | Calculated | $40–41m | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,955 | −$1,955 −100% | 4 |
| 418d |  Car | $41–42m | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | Lukyyyyyyy | <$40m | SellNo>99¢ | $10,375 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 418d |  TealV2 fills | $40–41m | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $3,661 | −$3,661 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | LINKEIN | <$40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,915 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | 254321758 | $50m+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 418d |  Dropper2 fills | $40–41m | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,221 | −$3,221 −100% | 4 |
| 418d | pkz | $40–41m | BuyNo20¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$5,484 +404% | 6 |
| 418d |  ThewhitewhaleV2 | $40–41m | SellNo15¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$8,045 −558% | — |
| 418d | TealV | $49–50m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$25 +2.5% | 4 |
| 418d |  wokql | $50m+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 4 |
| 418d |  lmtfalone | $50m+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | +$184 +9.9% | 4 |
| 418d |  dooby | $50m+ | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$153 −12% | — |
| 418d |  shivasbull | $40–41m | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 5 |
| 418d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | $50m+ | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$167 −12% | — |
| 418d | OPTIONSKING | $40–41m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$184 +11% | 4 |
| 418d |  Meerror | $40–41m | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,677 | −$1,677 −100% | 6 |
| 418d | dooby | $50m+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$116 +8.9% | 4 |
| 418d | Car | <$40m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,953 | +$402 +4.5% | 4 |
| 418d | GobiDesertCanoePro | $50m+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$97 +6.7% | 4 |
| 418d |  SilluBetsAgain | $50m+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,887 | +$197 +6.8% | 4 |
| 418d | worldeconomy | $50m+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$120 +7.5% | 4 |
| 418d | Jackvillow | $50m+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 4 |
| 418d | Debosnys | $50m+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$75 +6.4% | 4 |
Fadacode1,000 shares🎨🎨🎨41 sharesThis market will resolve according to the amount of funds raised by MrBeast for team water by August 31, 11:59 PM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source will be the total “Years of Water Supplied” figure displayed on teamwater.org. According to the #teamwater site, $1 equals one year of water supplied.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $41–42m means the market gives it about 100%.