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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | +2 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 100% | +40 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $300M | 0% | −19 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $80M | 100% | 0 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $400M | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $600M | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $500M | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $700M | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | BASED101 | $300M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,383 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d |  0x2048Ba14eC0CAD6e8d308C25f6EFdfDE23b0f52 fills | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,672 | −$168 −1.4% | — |
| 317d | topmoon | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | Judicious-LicenseNew account | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,496 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | wangxin321 | $200M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,232 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 0x007- | $300M | SellNo100¢ | $3,019 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | nhuttamtran1997 | $300M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 317d | Emperorvikky | $300M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,427 | −$65 −1.0% | — |
| 317d | maru-xan | $300M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$132 +2.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  mioki2 fills | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,249 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | mioki | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,879 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | kimberlybowen | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | mamulikk | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,622 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | Patron127 | $300M | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | −$906 −39% | — |
| 317d |  PapaCurio | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,694 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  solwizzo-onX | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | zzzcapital | $300M | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$220 −19% | — |
| 317d | Hpp3 | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $6,034 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 317d |  SchrodingerBet | $700M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,005 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | trungminh123 | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,356 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 317d |  alex101 | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | zzzcapital | $300M | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$222 +19% | 2 |
| 317d | nhuttamtran1997 | $300M | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$267 +26% | 2 |
| 317d | Emperorvikky | $400M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | −$88 −5.7% | — |
| 317d | peter1031 | $200M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 317d |  k3shyuu2 fills | $100M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,401 | +$53 +2.2% | 2 |
| 317d | lontou | $80M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,061 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 0x007- | $200M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$46 +1.1% | 2 |
| 317d | 1231123123 | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,655 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d |  shadow54 | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,560 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d |  musiepon2 fills | $100M | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | −$167 −7.1% | — |
| 317d | yengaa | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,273 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | susukid | $400M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$28 −2.6% | — |
| 317d | bozotys3 fills | $400M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,169 | +$103 +2.5% | 2 |
| 317d | susukid | $400M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$44 +4.1% | 2 |
| 317d | bozotys | $80M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | Threadbare | $200M | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,793 | −$287 −10% | — |
| 317d |  sezo.eth | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,477 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 317d | Judicious-LicenseNew account | $200M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | +$36 +2.0% | 2 |
| 317d | Judicious-LicenseNew account | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | Threadbare | $200M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$53 +2.1% | 2 |
| 317d |  o0ps | $200M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$77 +3.9% | 2 |
| 317d | topsonrock4 fills | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,842 | +$53 +0.4% | 2 |
| 317d | KKFGKFK | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | dfvasvsd | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | yidndndn | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | dsadsafsdafg | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,246 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | dsfvsdvsadv | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,337 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | dvsavsdvsd | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,686 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | jineng1 | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 317d | lontou | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,057 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 317d | lontou3 fills | $200M | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,694 | +$773 +16% | 2 |
| 317d | susukid | $200M | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$634 −43% | — |
| 317d | Hpp3 | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 317d | ThanhAn89 | $200M | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | +$445 +19% | 2 |
| 317d | 4w5eywreyg | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,119 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  03002663 | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  2322000 | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,283 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  32r23r333 | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,460 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d |  Nobo | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,200 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of HumidiFi's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If HumidiFi doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.