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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prison time | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-5 months | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6-11 months | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1-3 years | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4-10 years | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >10 years | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 1-5 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,149 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | rpo | 1-5 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,355 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | rpo | 1-3 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,621 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d |  pirateshere | 1-3 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 1-3 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,978 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | longtern | >10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,286 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d |  Anjun | >10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | pirateshere | >10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d |  MMousse4 fills | >10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,358 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | MMousse2 fills | 4-10 years | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,851 | +$48 +0.6% | 20 |
| 691d | MMousse3 fills | 1-5 months | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,221 | +$780 +4.8% | 20 |
| 691d | MMousse | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,957 | +$101 +1.0% | 20 |
| 691d | MMousse | 1-3 years | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,431 | +$1,023 +14% | 20 |
| 692d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | 1-3 years | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,467 | +$433 +12% | 20 |
| 692d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | 4-10 years | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,936 | +$180 +3.6% | 20 |
| 717d |  fhantombets | 4-10 years | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$51 −4.1% | — |
| 723d |  TimeQuestion | No prison time | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$614 −47% | — |
| 754d | TimeQuestion | No prison time | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$719 +49% | 20 |
| 756d |  VibesGreaterRules | 4-10 years | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | −$66 −4.1% | — |
TriaKube795 sharesThis is a market on the potential prison time Hunter Biden may face related to his gun sentence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No prison time means the market gives it about 100%.