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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 435d |
| $50M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 435d |
| $80M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 435d |
| $100M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 435d |
| $200M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 435d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | lichenglicheng3 fills | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,245 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 230d | kkdsj | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,363 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 230d | lilimeme | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 230d | kkdsj | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,255 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 230d | kkdsj2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,379 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 230d | Thirsty-Proofreader | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of idOS's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If idOS (https://x.com/idOS_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 100%.
