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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 6% | — | −2 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| $250M | 19% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $3B | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $2B | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $500M | 17% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 15¢ · 18¢ (3¢) | $155 | in 69d |
| $100M | 18% | — | −8 pts | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | $50 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d |  mainantagonist2 fills | $100M | BuyNo72¢ → 82¢ | $2,583 | +$360 +14% | 7 |
| 3d | mainantagonist | $250M | BuyNo81¢ → 82¢ | $3,225 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 3d | bearishoncrypto2 fills | $500M | BuyNo77¢ → 84¢ | $3,395 | +$273 +8.1% | 6 |
| 3d | fakerfan | $250M | SellNo81¢ → 82¢ | $1,506 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 11d | egas | $100M | SellYes17¢ → 18¢ | $1,380 | −$78 −5.7% | — |
| 13d | mefirofan | $100M | SellNo80¢ → 82¢ | $1,086 | −$27 −2.5% | — |
| 14d | Mingooo | $1B | SellNo91¢ → 94¢ | $1,374 | −$45 −3.3% | — |
| 16d | electionplayer | $100M | BuyYes32¢ → 18¢ | $1,000 | −$438 −44% | 7 |
| 16d | electionplayer | $1B | SellNo91¢ → 94¢ | $1,819 | −$60 −3.3% | — |
| 17d | mainantagonist | $100M | SellNo74¢ → 82¢ | $1,532 | −$171 −11% | — |
| 36d |  Maxima | $100M | SellNo90¢ → 82¢ | $2,721 | +$242 +8.9% | — |
| 36d | Elementary-Gold | $100M | BuyNo82¢ | $1,630 | +$7 +0.4% | 5 |
| 37d | predictgeek | $3B | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,022 | +$80 +7.8% | 2 |
| 44d | MaxEnt | $100M | BuyNo59¢ → 82¢ | $1,057 | +$401 +38% | 7 |
| 49d | gydmasg | $100M | BuyNo55¢ → 82¢ | $1,089 | +$535 +49% | 7 |
| 60d | pp101 | $1B | BuyNo84¢ → 94¢ | $1,441 | +$172 +12% | 2 |
| 66d | mainantagonist2 fills | $500M | SellNo76¢ → 84¢ | $2,088 | −$212 −10% | — |
| 70d |  dadadadayazi | $100M | SellNo70¢ → 82¢ | $1,424 | −$237 −17% | — |
| 70d | alexanderya | $100M | BuyNo74¢ → 82¢ | $1,002 | +$108 +11% | 6 |
| 70d |  KAiTRumpp | $250M | SellNo80¢ → 82¢ | $1,030 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 70d | YoungBro | $100M | BuyNo70¢ → 82¢ | $1,050 | +$180 +17% | 7 |
| 70d |  MicroPlastic2 fills | $100M | BuyNo68¢ → 82¢ | $4,201 | +$884 +21% | 7 |
| 103d | dadadadayazi | $100M | SellYes53¢ → 18¢ | $2,547 | +$1,679 +66% | — |
| 109d | dadadadayazi2 fills | $100M | BuyYes73¢ → 18¢ | $4,589 | −$3,453 −75% | 7 |
| 124d | Knobby-Disparity4 fills | $500M | SellNo53¢ → 84¢ | $4,976 | −$2,871 −58% | — |
| 129d |  cr1mean | $100M | BuyYes69¢ → 18¢ | $2,064 | −$1,529 −74% | 7 |
| 146d | goodar | $100M | BuyYes83¢ → 18¢ | $1,457 | −$1,141 −78% | 5 |
| 156d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e4245622 fills | $1B | SellNo60¢ → 94¢ | $2,225 | −$1,287 −58% | — |
| 161d |  Telluxion | $500M | SellYes72¢ → 17¢ | $1,193 | +$920 +77% | — |
| 169d | hun1112 fills | $250M | BuyYes87¢ → 19¢ | $2,805 | −$2,208 −79% | 2 |
| 171d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e424562 | $1B | BuyNo60¢ → 94¢ | $2,505 | +$1,419 +57% | 2 |
| 183d | Telluxion | $1B | SellYes48¢ → 6¢ | $1,727 | +$1,509 +87% | — |
| 198d | malol0072 fills | $500M | BuyYes43¢ → 17¢ | $2,695 | −$1,653 −61% | 8 |
| 199d | fakerfan | $250M | BuyNo32¢ → 82¢ | $1,168 | +$1,807 +155% | 3 |
| 211d | tryingmyluckhere | $250M | SellYes51¢ → 19¢ | $1,428 | +$910 +64% | — |
| 212d | tryingmyluckhere2 fills | $250M | BuyYes50¢ → 19¢ | $5,539 | −$3,490 −63% | 2 |
| 213d | tryingmyluckhere | $500M | BuyYes40¢ → 17¢ | $2,110 | −$1,240 −59% | 8 |
| 213d |  gghtx | $500M | SellNo60¢ → 84¢ | $1,587 | −$609 −38% | — |
| 213d | tryingmyluckhere | $500M | SellNo60¢ → 84¢ | $6,545 | −$2,498 −38% | — |
| 213d | egas2 fills | $500M | SellYes46¢ → 17¢ | $8,782 | +$5,662 +64% | — |
| 214d | Xyu | $500M | BuyNo49¢ → 84¢ | $1,470 | +$1,035 +70% | 7 |
| 216d | Knobby-Disparity | $500M | BuyNo50¢ → 84¢ | $1,130 | +$757 +67% | 7 |
| 219d | tryingmyluckhere | $500M | BuyNo39¢ → 84¢ | $1,090 | +$1,244 +114% | 7 |
| 224d | egas7 fills | $500M | BuyYes62¢ → 17¢ | $12,443 | −$9,145 −73% | 7 |
| 228d | egas2 fills | $250M | BuyYes85¢ → 19¢ | $5,920 | −$4,627 −78% | 2 |
| 241d | Mingooo | $1B | BuyNo81¢ → 94¢ | $1,500 | +$231 +15% | 2 |
| 261d | doeonchain | $500M | BuyNo30¢ → 84¢ | $3,000 | +$5,353 +178% | 11 |
| 304d | hypno | $1B | BuyYes50¢ → 6¢ | $2,000 | −$1,761 −88% | 2 |
| 317d |  twe2nty | $500M | SellNo12¢ → 84¢ | $1,228 | −$7,303 −595% | — |
| 337d | hypno | $500M | BuyYes90¢ → 17¢ | $17,995 | −$14,696 −82% | 4 |
SportsRecord2,768 shares
EasyProfit835 shares
PaddyAlpha478 sharesmainantagonist2,103 shares
NONONONNONONON1,364 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 6%.