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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$108m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$90m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $90-99m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $99-108m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 856d | singa-585 | >$108m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 856d |  aebonds | >$108m | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,499 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 856d |  enderone | >$108m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,835 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 857d |  aenews22 fills | $90-99m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,896 | +$217 +7.5% | 4 |
| 858d | aenews22 fills | <$90m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,275 | +$339 +4.1% | 4 |
| 858d |  Anjun | <$90m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$28 +2.1% | 4 |
| 858d | DumbMoney1 | <$90m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$38 +3.3% | 4 |
| 858d | DumbMoney1 | $90-99m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$92 +4.7% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$108m means the market gives it about 100%.