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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 882d | professorx | Will Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,561 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 887d | Will Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$152 +7.6% | 4 | |
| 887d | Will Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | +$108 +6.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran publicly accuses Israel of being behind the helicopter accident involving President Ebrahim Raisi by May 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The accusation must be made by an official Iranian government spokesperson, such as the Supreme Leader, the President, or a representative from the Foreign Ministry. The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from the Iranian government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.