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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday June 23 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Monday June 30 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friday June 27 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sunday June 22 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483d | rwo3 fills | Monday June 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,527 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 483d |  Mythrust2 fills | Monday June 23 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $7,469 | −$1,470 −20% | — |
| 484d | rwo | Monday June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,777 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 484d |  Naichli2 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,763 | +$1,224 +26% | 21 |
| 484d |  lranon2 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | +$29 +0.8% | 20 |
| 484d | Mythrust2 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,199 | +$629 +12% | 21 |
| 484d | RobertoRubio3 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,698 | +$43 +0.1% | 20 |
| 484d | AlexPro | Monday June 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,516 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 484d | 1mperator17 | Monday June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,912 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 484d |  ChunkyMonky | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 484d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Monday June 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,209 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 485d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Monday June 23 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,207 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 485d |  aenews23 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,546 | +$922 +14% | 21 |
| 485d | chenmocm | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 485d | Trompet11 | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 485d |  Debosnys | Monday June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,868 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 485d |  Alphax | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 485d | ChunkyMonky | Monday June 23 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 485d | lranon | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | −$19 −0.7% | — |
| 485d | Liquidifier | Monday June 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 485d |  Funfzig3 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,671 | +$148 +0.4% | 20 |
| 485d | lfgwagmi | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,765 | −$71 −0.9% | — |
| 485d |  scout3 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,256 | +$216 +1.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  Anjun2 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,471 | +$56 +0.9% | 20 |
| 485d |  Euan | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,942 | −$58 −1.5% | — |
| 485d | bochin | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 485d | YannisZ | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 485d |  imtiredb0ss | Monday June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,123 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 485d | goldenfingers133 | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 485d | Anjun2 fills | Monday June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,941 | −$59 −0.5% | — |
| 485d | Alphax | Monday June 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 485d | Docnews8 | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | −$15 −0.8% | — |
| 485d | scout4 fills | Monday June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$512 +7.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  TheSwedishWolf | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 485d | Anjun2 fills | Monday June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,637 | +$364 +3.4% | 20 |
| 485d | rwo | Friday June 27 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,509 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | plushbun | Monday June 23 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 485d | scout3 fills | Friday June 27 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,516 | +$452 +2.9% | 20 |
| 485d |  TheFund | Monday June 23 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | −$90 −3.1% | — |
| 485d | TheFund | Monday June 23 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$180 +6.4% | 20 |
| 485d | aenews2 | Monday June 30 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,738 | +$228 +13% | 21 |
| 485d | aenews2 | Friday June 27 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$162 +13% | 21 |
| 485d | Y332 fills | Monday June 23 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $5,046 | −$1,947 −39% | — |
| 486d | umniybet12 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,290 | +$1,080 +33% | 22 |
| 486d | ofir007 | Monday June 30 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 22 |
| 486d | ofir007 | Friday June 27 | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | −$1,092 −100% | 22 |
| 486d | No.One-128 | Friday June 27 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 22 |
| 486d | gubami | Monday June 30 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,361 | −$1,361 −100% | 22 |
| 486d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Monday June 30 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$464 −32% | — |
| 486d | 35b0k | Monday June 23 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$375 +30% | 22 |
| 486d | denizz | Monday June 23 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | −$358 −28% | — |
| 486d | AlexPro | Monday June 23 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$449 +39% | 22 |
| 486d | Pokymarket | Monday June 23 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$444 +28% | 21 |
| 486d | plushbun | Monday June 23 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | +$598 +26% | 21 |
| 486d |  UwO2 fills | Monday June 23 | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | −$2,467 −91% | — |
| 486d | UwO | Monday June 23 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,195 | +$722 +23% | 21 |
| 486d |  Kinganibus | Monday June 23 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$256 +25% | 21 |
| 486d |  0x01BTC01 | Monday June 23 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$549 +45% | 22 |
| 487d | lfgwagmi2 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $4,575 | +$3,130 +68% | 22 |
| 487d |  Dropper3 fills | Monday June 23 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,241 | +$2,311 +55% | 22 |
duderr2,422 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, or on any U.S. territory, embassy, or consulate, between June 2, 2025 (inclusive) and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting..
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Monday June 23 means the market gives it about 100%.