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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691d |  kjihiuhi2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,961 | −$464 −4.7% | — |
| 691d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,420 | +$24 +0.1% | 20 |
| 692d | D42d2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,644 | +$895 +6.6% | 20 |
| 692d |  XiJinPing-4785 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,383 | +$822 +9.8% | 21 |
| 692d | sihowes2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,483 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 692d | kjihiuhi3 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,010 | +$494 +4.9% | 20 |
| 692d |  Fellali | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 692d |  MMousse8 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,103 | +$324 +1.2% | 20 |
| 692d | XiJinPing-478 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 692d |  FTX2.05 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,828 | −$711 −8.1% | — |
| 693d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 693d | Saltyballs | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,508 | −$114 −1.5% | — |
| 694d |  scottilicious4 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $47,861 | +$1,873 +3.9% | 20 |
| 694d |  Ghewu | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 694d |  TheGekko-095 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 695d | Moj2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,574 | −$115 −2.5% | — |
| 696d | SkibidiRizz-303 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,248 | +$82 +3.6% | 20 |
| 696d | Mou-4542 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,036 | −$256 −4.2% | — |
| 697d | denizz2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,494 | +$545 +8.4% | 20 |
| 697d | YasH | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 20 |
| 697d |  GoriIIa | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $12,004 | +$861 +7.2% | 20 |
| 697d |  orcinus2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | −$251 −10% | — |
| 698d | MMousse2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $3,252 | +$3,252 +100% | — |
| 698d |  ToadLord4 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $5,557 | −$5,557 −100% | 29 |
| 698d | MMousse2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $12,800 | −$12,800 −100% | 41 |
| 698d | Sammaal | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$166 −9.9% | — |
| 699d | yellowdolphin | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,226 | −$1,007 −9.8% | — |
| 699d |  SPMontreal | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$108 +8.3% | 21 |
| 700d | yellowdolphin | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,447 | +$786 +7.5% | 20 |
| 700d |  Car10 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $25,619 | +$6,937 +27% | 20 |
| 700d | Shaz22 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,006 | −$495 −9.9% | — |
| 703d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$396 +9.9% | 20 |
| 703d |  Mr-Yolos | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | +$231 +11% | 20 |
| 703d | DeezzNutzz7 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $20,823 | +$2,156 +10% | 20 |
| 703d | Shaz22 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,006 | +$495 +9.9% | 20 |
| 705d | F-005 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $11,494 | −$1,437 −13% | — |
| 706d | Saltyballs5 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $23,935 | +$6,019 +25% | 20 |
| 706d | Arielta01 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$144 +11% | 20 |
| 706d | TheRealOne-533 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$127 +12% | 20 |
| 706d | Pfirsichlada | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$193 +12% | 20 |
| 707d | nshalon2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,824 | −$496 −18% | — |
| 707d |  WashTrade | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,374 | −$355 −15% | — |
| 707d | Bink_7 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $13,621 | −$2,013 −15% | — |
| 709d |  emlinhaxx | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,639 | +$1,639 +100% | — |
| 709d | Magamyman2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $6,441 | +$5,955 +92% | 20 |
| 710d |  digital | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | −$408 −28% | — |
| 710d | Pacpac-736 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,709 | +$931 +25% | 20 |
| 710d | Sammaal | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$378 +26% | 20 |
| 711d | emlinhaxx | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $2,238 | −$2,238 −100% | 24 |
| 711d |  1T4oZeHgW7EmVF1iS6CFgmDMBzQQWH3o | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$265 +25% | 20 |
| 711d | 1T4oZeHgW7EmVF1iS6CFgmDMBzQQWH3o | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | +$1,053 +100% | — |
| 712d | Mou-4542 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,621 | +$755 +29% | 20 |
| 713d | Frogy | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $11,854 | +$4,197 +35% | 20 |
| 713d | TheGekko-095 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$422 +39% | 20 |
| 713d | Moj3 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $6,853 | +$4,294 +63% | 20 |
| 713d | F-00 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $10,200 | +$4,632 +45% | 20 |
| 713d | Masturbator2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | −$1,615 −68% | — |
| 714d | nshalon2 fills | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$1,550 +62% | 20 |
| 714d | digital | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,248 | +$1,158 +52% | 20 |
| 714d | Bink_7 | Iran strike on Israel before December? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $18,921 | +$10,381 +55% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 31, 12:00 PM ET and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
