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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490d |  aabbcc15234 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,073 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 490d | 1mperator17 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,761 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 490d | Badbunny | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | −$283 −4.5% | — |
| 491d | Badbunny | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$29 +0.5% | 4 |
| 491d | CanadianGoose | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 491d |  beigesun | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$51 +3.4% | 5 |
| 492d | 158448526 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | +$34 +1.3% | 4 |
| 493d | Gambler20263 fills | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,366 | +$356 +2.2% | 4 |
| 493d |  Dumbeldor2003 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$93 +8.4% | 5 |
| 493d | SlickRick123 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | −$171 −11% | — |
| 493d | Renet | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | +$201 +12% | 6 |
| 493d | NeH | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,260 | +$870 +17% | 6 |
| 494d | Saltyballs | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$220 −20% | — |
| 495d | 0x7d17741e8bF4 fills | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,130 | −$1,124 −22% | — |
| 496d | 0x7d17741e8bF3 fills | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $8,294 | +$1,807 +22% | 5 |
| 496d | Omidreza8 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$322 +16% | 5 |
| 496d | SmartMoney-769 | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$425 +27% | 5 |
| 496d | ethereallight | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$256 +26% | 5 |
| 496d |  Earningsss | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$335 +30% | 6 |
| 497d | h4xor | Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$234 +22% | 5 |
BabyYoda127,233 shares
GayPride2,021 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 12, 2025, and June 20, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 12 and June 20, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.