Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · WorldClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609d |  GollumGekko | Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,985 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 617d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$65 +2.6% | 4 |
| 624d |  Justitia | Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | +$144 +6.4% | 4 |
On February 6, the Israeli Minister of Defense, Israel Katz, posted that Spain, Ireland, and Norway are legally obligated to take Gazan refugees (https://x.com/Israel_katz/status/1887416931365314902). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Spain, Ireland, or Norway announces a plan to accept Gazan refugees between February 5 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Ireland, Norway, and Spain, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.