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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1027d |  VibesGreaterRules2 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,627 | +$44 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1036d |  occasionalAwareness4 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,171 | +$359 +1.9% | 4 |
| 1043d | VibesGreaterRules2 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,825 | −$175 −1.2% | — |
| 1044d | completion | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 1045d | tak-716 | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | −$24 −1.2% | — |
| 1050d |  debased | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | −$30 −1.2% | — |
| 1054d |  BigMike11 | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 1057d | Trump2032-3652 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $51,519 | +$585 +1.1% | 4 |
| 1057d | Gdub2 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,234 | +$117 +1.6% | 4 |
| 1062d | debased | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$52 +1.8% | 4 |
| 1066d |  thanksforplaying | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,272 | −$246 −3.0% | — |
| 1066d | food | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$612 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1068d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,414 | −$141 −2.2% | — |
| 1082d | Xav | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | +$51 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1086d |  rationalpositiveev2 fills | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,251 | +$106 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1094d | blackrooster | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | −$60 −3.4% | — |
| 1094d | true | Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | −$97 −3.3% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the paper titled "The First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008) are replicated at least two times by independent researchers unaffiliated with the authors of this paper by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources and experts verifying the legitimacy of these replications. If there is ambiguity as to whether replications under consideration for the resolution of this market are credible, this may remain open until July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, to allow for the publication of any replication results in a reputable journal. One such publication will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If no such paper is published by this delayed resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.