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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604d | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,924 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 605d | smarttrades | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 605d | kk47jfer | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,097 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 605d | kk47jfer | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 606d | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,667 | +$31 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 606d | Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,432 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
On February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.