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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d |  MMousse2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,045 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 692d | Nahhhhhh | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,135 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 692d | Pastel-Dozen | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,374 | +$64 +1.0% | 20 |
| 692d |  lmeoww | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 693d |  asico | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,033 | +$26 +1.3% | 20 |
| 694d | ItamarBleinad | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$33 −3.0% | — |
| 695d | Straight-Split | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$38 +1.9% | 20 |
| 696d | Saltyballs3 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,072 | +$361 +7.1% | 20 |
| 699d | ItamarBleinad | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$112 +11% | 21 |
| 699d | Saltyballs | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,988 | −$1,012 −17% | — |
| 700d | GodPunishment | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$421 −28% | — |
| 701d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$400 +19% | 20 |
| 702d | DeezzNutzz2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,454 | +$436 +13% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory between November 11, 2024 12:00 PM ET, and November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iraqi soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be Israeli government confirmation or reporting confirmed by authentic video and photo evidence including satellite imagery. However an overwhelming consensus of media reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.