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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | Meager-Methane | December 31, 2026 | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,755 | −$121 −6.9% | — |
| 119d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,743 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 140d | emp9922 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | −$48 −2.2% | — |
| 147d | 0x7a6c…5048 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $4,969 | +$483 +9.7% | 4 |
| 161d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96046 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,673 | +$415 +4.8% | 4 |
| 161d | glynis382blaze2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,093 | −$106 −5.0% | — |
| 161d | dario348jalen | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$60 −5.0% | — |
| 161d | tiagodario258 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$55 +5.2% | 4 |
| 161d | Lalmohmmad | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$58 +5.2% | 4 |
| 161d | glynis382blaze2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | +$110 +5.1% | 4 |
| 161d | caydonpaige4461 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
| 161d | Joinessss | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
| 161d | Arlene688 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$58 −5.2% | — |
| 161d | dario348jalen | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$60 +5.0% | 4 |
| 161d | Joinessss | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$65 +5.7% | 4 |
| 161d | caydonpaige4461 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$65 +5.7% | 4 |
| 161d | Arlene688 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$68 +5.7% | 4 |
| 161d | ericakendrick9530 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$58 −5.3% | — |
| 161d | RazzieDml2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,124 | +$97 +4.6% | 4 |
| 161d | thomasinafloyd3334 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$55 +5.5% | 4 |
| 161d | glenannalisa7136 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$60 +5.5% | 4 |
| 161d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96045 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,922 | −$329 −4.8% | — |
| 161d | jenny215harper | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$55 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | justdriss | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$57 −5.4% | — |
| 161d | pippa671brett | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$57 −5.4% | — |
| 161d | sally967brinley | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$56 −5.4% | — |
| 161d | edward151carrie2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,182 | −$116 −5.3% | — |
| 161d | pippa671brett | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$62 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | justdriss | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$57 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | sally967brinley | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$56 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | edward151carrie2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | +$117 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | skyereed9261 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$62 −5.6% | — |
| 161d | ericakendrick95302 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$120 +5.5% | 4 |
| 161d | giovannajasper66483 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,307 | +$163 +4.9% | 4 |
| 161d | Francine206 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$60 +5.6% | 4 |
| 161d | gonzalo965vasco | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$66 +5.6% | 4 |
| 161d | Bcharlunt2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,189 | +$121 +5.5% | 4 |
| 161d | malachi106arnold | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$62 +5.6% | 4 |
| 161d | PariApa19843 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,329 | +$167 +5.0% | 4 |
| 161d | skyereed9261 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$62 +5.6% | 4 |
| 161d | polmaroy | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$61 +5.8% | 4 |
| 161d | Torrean | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$59 +5.8% | 4 |
| 161d | Roseanne643 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$60 +5.2% | 4 |
| 161d | AZubairu32697 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$61 +5.6% | 4 |
| 161d | ireneharriet9391 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$57 −5.3% | — |
| 161d | unitzrl | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 161d | avalucille1417 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$62 +5.4% | 4 |
| 161d | keithtracey87922 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$118 +5.3% | 4 |
| 161d | Petra957 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$65 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | kristina248sheridan | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$62 −5.6% | — |
| 162d | sylviedeborah7280 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$63 −5.6% | — |
| 162d | kingsley644rita2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | −$119 −5.6% | — |
| 162d | sarifuchs | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$63 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | sylviedeborah72802 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,245 | +$119 +5.3% | 4 |
| 162d | kristina248sheridan | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$60 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | kingsley644rita2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,134 | +$116 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | coral32irwin2 fills | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$115 −5.4% | — |
| 162d | unitzrl | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$55 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | ireneharriet9391 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$58 +5.4% | 4 |
| 162d | marcjaime4480 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$57 +5.4% | 4 |
VegemiteLover600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 4%.