Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906d | professorx | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,823 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 909d | Anon5566 | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | −$54 −3.0% | — |
| 910d |  50Whence2 fills | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$69 +2.7% | 4 |
| 911d |  ANudeEgg | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,901 | +$99 +3.4% | 4 |
| 934d |  WashTrade | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$470 +34% | 4 |
| 948d | effort | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $7,782 | +$2,138 +27% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.