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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502d |  verysensitive | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,311 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 502d |  Car5 fills | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,718 | +$230 +1.7% | 4 |
| 502d |  Emptiness. | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,787 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 502d |  Naichli3 fills | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,268 | +$35 +0.4% | 4 |
| 502d |  aenews2 | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,254 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 502d |  MisTKy3 | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 502d | meropi | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | −$46 −3.1% | — |
| 502d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 502d |  mr.ozi | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | +$95 +3.6% | 4 |
| 503d |  Euan | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$46 −4.0% | — |
| 503d | Euan | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$32 +2.7% | 4 |
| 503d | Saltyballs | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 503d | Yahyam | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$213 +11% | 4 |
| 503d |  mostobesegoldfish | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$191 −14% | — |
| 506d | mostobesegoldfish | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$162 +15% | 4 |
| 507d | amused85 | Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$187 +18% | 4 |
PRESIDENTEJavierMilei3,142 shares
Bloger31,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, is physically intercepted, redirected, detained, or boarded by any Israeli military or governmental authority before it reaches the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes enforcement of a naval blockade, boarding by armed forces, the use of force, electronic warfare, or threats to prevent the ship from completing its mission. Voluntary rerouting or delays due to weather, mechanical issues, or internal decisions not caused by external pressure will not qualify. The vessel will be considered to have reached the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip if the vessel comes within 100 meters of the Gaza shoreline. Entry into Gaza’s maritime zone will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.