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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d |  Debosnys | Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 571d | Edmuntos68 | Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 572d | Imroser | Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,267 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 581d | keribit2 fills | Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$100 +2.9% | 20 |
| 583d | yyyyyyy | Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$25 +2.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military action against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between March 17 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.