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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735d |  Qualitative | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,108 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 735d | VvVv | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,291 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 735d | jl3128776 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | −$32 −0.5% | — |
| 735d | hmmmmm-3654 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,884 | +$108 +0.6% | 20 |
| 735d |  overthinkingchamp | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,542 | +$96 +1.0% | 20 |
| 735d | CC3-008 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 735d | Mgmsx | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | −$63 −2.9% | — |
| 735d | Paimei | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,691 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 735d | fkarasek | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | −$36 −2.0% | — |
| 735d |  scottilicious4 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $30,370 | +$10,396 +34% | 24 |
| 735d | Pale-EyelashesNew account | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,848 | +$246 +6.4% | 22 |
| 735d | Cocksia | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$64 +3.3% | 20 |
| 735d | h038596027355 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,133 | +$73 +3.4% | 20 |
| 736d | tsll2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,142 | +$482 +12% | 22 |
| 736d | Politiphil | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 21 |
| 736d |  bonhomme | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $41,585 | +$2,224 +5.3% | 21 |
| 736d | letmehodl | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 736d | KKolio | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$259 +12% | 23 |
| 737d |  Wickier2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,241 | +$1,781 +34% | 24 |
| 737d | btcbb | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,968 | −$1,968 −100% | 28 |
| 737d | Mou-454 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$288 +23% | 23 |
| 737d |  mr.ozi | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 24 |
| 738d | DeezzNutzz7 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $11,765 | −$4,334 −37% | — |
| 738d | QGHVFCX | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$407 +28% | 24 |
| 738d | FDGHGF-470 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$396 +28% | 24 |
| 738d | chiwawa | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$439 +27% | 24 |
| 738d | Saltyballs2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $5,745 | −$2,977 −52% | — |
| 738d |  BustedCungly | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$527 −47% | — |
| 738d | ButtonClicker | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,209 | −$1,209 −100% | 26 |
| 738d |  XiJinPing-478 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$330 −28% | — |
| 738d | polypotato | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$336 +32% | 24 |
| 738d | BustedCungly | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$394 +32% | 24 |
| 738d | Saltyballs3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$3,205 +36% | 22 |
| 739d |  Mhw521 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$620 −45% | — |
| 739d | 0xffffffff | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$600 −43% | — |
| 739d |  just.some.guy2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $13,656 | +$6,344 +46% | 22 |
| 739d |  OUSJT | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$620 −45% | — |
| 739d | Losjwd | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$600 −43% | — |
| 739d | Losjwd | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$560 +39% | 22 |
| 739d |  YOUTUBE-405 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | −$600 −43% | — |
| 739d |  IUYTasdt | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | −$532 −39% | — |
| 739d | IUYTasdt | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$378 +37% | 22 |
| 739d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $11,735 | +$5,207 +44% | 22 |
| 739d | Bink_72 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $7,589 | +$7,589 +100% | — |
| 739d | jl3128776 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 22 |
| 739d | DeezzNutzz5 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $11,709 | +$6,916 +59% | 22 |
| 740d |  anoncyclosis | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$667 +30% | 22 |
| 740d | 0xffffffff3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $11,979 | +$7,389 +62% | 22 |
| 740d | ALKK | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$760 −61% | — |
| 740d | ALKK | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 22 |
| 740d |  50Whence6 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $16,689 | −$16,689 −100% | 20 |
| 740d | Pablito112 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | −$1,568 −100% | 23 |
| 741d | Professorr-127 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $4,190 | +$4,190 +100% | — |
| 741d | OmenOfLord2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,536 | −$2,536 −100% | 22 |
| 741d |  Freddy | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo43¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$1,617 −133% | — |
| 742d |  HaterzLoserz | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,859 | −$1,859 −100% | 22 |
| 742d | Moj | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo43¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$1,761 +132% | 22 |
| 742d | fkarasek | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$2,193 +144% | 23 |
| 744d | Mgmsx | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$2,236 +150% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 8, 2024, and October 18, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.