Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel launched the explosive device which caused the explosion at the Al-Ahli al-Arabi Hospital on October 17, 2023. This market will resolve to "Palestine" if a Palestinian-related group (Hamas, PiJ, etc.) launched the rocket which caused the mentioned explosion. The resolution source for this market is statements from the US government, primarily the State Department, the President of the United States, the Cabinet, and the Joint Chiefs of Staff, however if none of them release a definitive statement by Oct 20, 11:59 PM ET, it will be resolve based on the most credible evidence available at that time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.