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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217d |  Infringe | 24k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d |  Totenkopf | 22k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,268 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d |  arabsearch | 22k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,223 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d |  Rommel💀 | 22k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,953 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d | PainStealer | 22k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d | PainStealer | 24k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d |  ChoosePoverty | 24k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,212 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d | Infringe | 20k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 218d |  PajamaSam2 fills | 20k | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$270 +9.0% | 4 |
| 218d | Junhoo2 | 22k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,340 | +$660 +6.4% | 4 |
DiamondHands11822 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 24k means the market gives it about 0%.