Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −25 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455d |  aenews24 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,158 | +$197 +0.8% | 20 |
| 455d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,396 | −$111 −1.0% | — |
| 455d | PredictionYogi4 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,903 | +$370 +1.4% | 20 |
| 455d |  Dropper2 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,715 | +$365 +2.7% | 20 |
| 455d |  yzh101 | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$36 +2.2% | 20 |
| 455d | 0x955c…990f | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,879 | +$248 +6.4% | 20 |
| 455d | mikka101 | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $11,997 | +$854 +7.1% | 20 |
| 455d |  Car | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | +$349 +11% | 20 |
| 455d | gsakura | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 20 |
| 455d | Mr.Bim | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,216 | −$221 −10.0% | — |
| 455d | RepulsiveMule77 | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | −$174 −9.2% | — |
| 456d | chayanani | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$108 +7.5% | 20 |
| 456d |  Naichli | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,885 | −$292 −7.5% | — |
| 456d | Kabas | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,970 | +$256 +2.6% | 20 |
| 456d | Naichli3 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,302 | +$3,048 +92% | 20 |
| 456d | Mr.Bim5 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,848 | +$2,203 +17% | 25 |
| 456d |  SQP3G2 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $4,506 | −$3,035 −67% | — |
| 456d |  SqPeg | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $5,960 | −$4,128 −69% | — |
| 456d | 0x955c…990f | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 456d | Velvety-Trapezoid | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$151 +11% | 23 |
| 457d | RobertoRubio | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$171 +11% | 23 |
| 458d | RepulsiveMule77 | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$494 +43% | 25 |
| 458d |  MajidJavadi | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $4,942 | −$4,942 −100% | 28 |
| 459d | SQP3G2 fills | Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$822 +26% | 23 |
duderr11,011 shares
MagicEightBall666 shares
MrGoy105 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any Syrian embassy or consulate between July 21, 3:00 PM ET and July 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.