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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday July 17 | 0% | −16 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Sunday July 20 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Monday July 21 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tuesday July 22 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Wednesday July 23 | 0% | −8 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Friday July 18 | 0% | −41 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Saturday July 19 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457d |  prescient | Wednesday July 23 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 457d | Mr.Bim | Wednesday July 23 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$33 +2.3% | 20 |
| 457d |  jotaonthewing | Wednesday July 23 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$96 −9.2% | — |
| 457d | jotaonthewing | Wednesday July 23 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$43 +3.9% | 20 |
| 458d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe3 fills | Tuesday July 22 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,112 | +$32 +0.5% | 20 |
| 458d |  ondra123 | Tuesday July 22 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$189 +6.7% | 20 |
| 458d |  SqPeg | Monday July 21 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,762 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | Mr.Bim | Monday July 21 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,965 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Monday July 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,990 | +$38 +0.2% | 20 |
| 459d | SqPeg | Monday July 21 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$37 +3.1% | 20 |
| 459d | Gd80 | Monday July 21 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$37 −3.4% | — |
| 459d |  Dumbeldor2003 | Tuesday July 22 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$116 +7.8% | 20 |
| 459d | Dumbeldor2003 | Wednesday July 23 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$210 +8.1% | 20 |
| 459d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Sunday July 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,441 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 460d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Sunday July 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,622 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 460d | prescient | Sunday July 20 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
| 460d |  JaidenAnimations | Sunday July 20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 460d | Mr.Bim2 fills | Sunday July 20 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,879 | −$398 −6.8% | — |
| 460d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Saturday July 19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,406 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 460d |  albert.00 | Sunday July 20 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$59 +5.9% | 20 |
| 461d | Querulous-Belt | Sunday July 20 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$36 +2.4% | 20 |
| 461d |  UwO3 fills | Friday July 18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,976 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 462d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Friday July 18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,888 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 462d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Thursday July 17 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 463d |  NoYesMaybeLater | Thursday July 17 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,809 | +$87 +3.1% | 20 |
| 463d | Gennedy2 fills | Thursday July 17 | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 23 |
| 463d | Gennedy | Thursday July 17 | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | −$578 −35% | — |
| 463d |  Naichli | Thursday July 17 | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | +$2,105 +96% | 20 |
| 463d |  Funfzig3 fills | Thursday July 17 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $6,816 | −$6,816 −100% | 20 |
| 463d | cashy | Thursday July 17 | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,436 | +$1,436 +100% | — |
| 463d | cashy | Thursday July 17 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 20 |
| 463d |  MisTKy3 | Thursday July 17 | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $2,082 | −$2,082 −100% | 20 |
| 463d |  user-213094o | Thursday July 17 | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 20 |
Nami-Swann6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any Syrian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Thursday July 17 means the market gives it about 0%.