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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753d |  50Whence5 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,977 | +$114 +0.6% | 20 |
| 754d | kamala-is-brat | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 757d | polyproguy | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,509 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 760d | polymarketbetter | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 761d |  raise4info2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,803 | +$1,148 +20% | 20 |
| 767d |  grugzilla | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,061 | +$169 +4.2% | 20 |
| 770d | anon15653 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,163 | +$490 +12% | 20 |
| 779d | khabib-706 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$327 +16% | 20 |
| 780d | tsll | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,524 | −$1,131 −20% | — |
| 781d |  just.some.guy | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$230 −20% | — |
| 786d | just.some.guy | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$324 +32% | 20 |
| 786d | tsll2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,796 | +$955 +34% | 20 |
| 788d |  PatrickBateman2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,013 | −$4,013 −100% | 25 |
| 793d |  MALDEMER | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$599 +41% | 20 |
gpsmatty90 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on September 30, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.