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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44d | M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia | SellRafael Kis Balazs>99¢ | $5,436 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 44d | Jan7777 fills | M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia | BuyNicolas Parizzia88¢ → 0¢ | $14,163 | −$14,163 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Kis Balazs and Nicolas Parizzia in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Kis Balazs' if Rafael Kis Balazs advances against Nicolas Parizzia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Parizzia' if Nicolas Parizzia advances against Rafael Kis Balazs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for M15 Budapest: Rafael Kis Balazs vs Nicolas Parizzia means the market gives it about 100%.