Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +14 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 1 Winner | 50% | −12 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +5 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +31 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | ilovetennis | ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli | BuyJuan Cruz Martin Manzano99¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 92d | Mexcol | ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli | BuyJuan Cruz Martin Manzano72¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$429 +39% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Cruz Martin Manzano and Raffaele Ciurnelli in the ITF Men Segrate, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Martin Manzano' if Juan Cruz Martin Manzano advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli. This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Juan Cruz Martin Manzano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnelli means the market gives it about 100%.