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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Tanagura: Kenta Nakamura vs Ryoma Cogan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 19h |
| M15 Tanagura: Kenta Nakamura vs Ryoma Cogan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 19h |
| M15 Tanagura: Kenta Nakamura vs Ryoma Cogan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 19h |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Nakamura and Ryoma Cogan in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Nakamura' if Kenta Nakamura advances against Ryoma Cogan. This market will resolve to 'Ryoma Cogan' if Ryoma Cogan advances against Kenta Nakamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for M15 Tanagura: Kenta Nakamura vs Ryoma Cogan Set Handicap +/-1.5 means the market gives it about 100%.