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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Carlota Moreno Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | 0x75cb…b6a3 | Completed Match | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,268 | +$261 +4.2% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Merna Refaat and Carlota Moreno in the W15 Nashville, TN, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Merna Refaat' if Merna Refaat advances against Carlota Moreno. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Moreno' if Carlota Moreno advances against Merna Refaat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 100%.